How could Memetics or Cultural Selection Theory be applicable to the study of history and society? Doesn't it just state the obvious fact that some ideas survive while others don't?
No.
Functionalistic
explanations in social theory have often been unconvincing for lack of a
detailed etiological (causation) theory. In traditional analyses of the class
struggle, for example, it has often been claimed that this or that institution
exists "because it serves the interests of the ruling class". The
traditional analysis often fails, however, when it tries to find the architect
behind the strategy of the ruling class. A close scrutiny may often reveal that
such a strategy may be more refined and artful than the members of the ruling
class can possibly have been able to think out and agree upon. In particular,
this may be the case when we are talking about religious, ideological, or other
cultural means. Such strategies of power cannot possibly be explained by
rational planning alone, but only by taking into account the accumulated effect
of repeated selecting events.
I think that Memetics (cultural selection theory) has its greatest force in the
area of irrational behavior. All societies are full of seemingly irrational and
unproductive activities, such as religion, rituals, myths, tales, dance, music,
festivity, art, fashion, play, sport, hobby, sex, and romance. All these
activities have changed immensely during history, and we are seldom able to
tell why. This is really a challenge for cultural selection theory, but how else can we explain Donald Trump or Hitler?
Rational
decisions may also have interesting selection effects. Egoistic decisions taken
by influential persons or groups may have unwanted consequences for other
groups or for the society as a whole. This leads us to conflict research, where
selection theory also may be useful. If we can uncover the factors that
determine the outcome of a conflict, then we may in principle be able to
predict the macro level combined effect of a thousand micro level conflicts.
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